HONG KONG — The Hong Kong Observatory has issued its annual forecast, predicting an active typhoon season in 2024 with the likelihood of experiencing five to eight tropical cyclones within 500 kilometers of the city. This forecast indicates a level of activity similar to or potentially higher than previous years.
Chan Pak-wai, the Director of the Hong Kong Observatory, highlighted the impact of climate change on the region, stating that the average temperature in Hong Kong is expected to surpass normal levels this year. With global temperatures on the rise, Hong Kong may enter the top 10 highest recorded temperatures in history. The announcement comes on the heels of 2023, which was the second-warmest year on record, trailing only behind 1884.
In 2023, Hong Kong experienced a relatively warm year, with an average temperature of 24.5 degrees Celsius and a minimum average temperature of 22.6 degrees Celsius. The highest average recorded temperature reached 27.2 degrees Celsius, emphasizing the ongoing trend of rising temperatures.
While rainfall is expected to be within normal levels, ranging from 2,100 to 2,700 millimeters, there remains a possibility of torrential rain affecting the city. The Hong Kong Observatory urges residents to remain vigilant and prepared for potential heavy downpours.
Director Chan emphasized that the forecast takes into account various factors, including the warming and cooling phenomena of surface waters, climate model forecasts, and objective indicators. Based on these considerations, Hong Kong is expected to face its typhoon season from June to October.
To ensure public safety and awareness, the Hong Kong Observatory plans to enhance its information dissemination during severe weather events. Notably, when the black rainstorm warning signal is in effect, hourly briefings will be conducted to provide the latest weather updates to the public.
As the city braces for an active typhoon season and potential extreme weather events, the Hong Kong Observatory remains committed to safeguarding the well-being of its residents through timely and accurate weather information.
Stay tuned for further updates and stay prepared for the upcoming typhoon season.
